Working out time period of government bond

Discussion in 'CT1' started by maz1987, Sep 27, 2010.

  1. maz1987

    maz1987 Member

    Yes, another question!

    September 2009 paper, Qu 1:

    To answer this question, I found the value of i that solved the equation:

    96(1 + i)^(182/365) = 100

    I found i to be 0.085313


    I then put this value of i into the equation:

    97.89(1 + i)^(x/365) = 100

    And solved it for x, to give x = 95. So 182 - 95 = 87 days.


    However the solutions gave a completely different answer by using the fact that the investor received a rate of return of 5%, and solved the equation:

    96(1.05)^t = 97.89

    And found that t = 146 days.

    I see why this answer works, but what's wrong with what I have done?

    Thanks
     
  2. John Lee

    John Lee ActEd Tutor Staff Member


    1. You didn't use the rate given in the question for the first investor
    2. You then assumed the second investor also received this incorrect rate
     
  3. maz1987

    maz1987 Member

    But doesn't that conflict with what is in the notes?

    P x (1 + i)^(n/365) = 100

    That's the formula that's in the notes.

    So on reconsideration, am I right to assume then that i is not a rate that is set by the specific bond, but more a by-product of the price it was purchased at, P, and the price at redemption, in this case £100? I thought i was associated with a government bill the same way D and c are associated with bonds.

    Thanks
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 28, 2010
  4. didster

    didster Member

    Yes the rate earned depends on 3 things, the price you buy it at, the price you redeem/sell and time in between. It is not set in stone.
    It's not uncommon for holders of the same investments, eg bond, shares, over different periods, to earn different rates of return.
     
  5. maz1987

    maz1987 Member

    Ah ok thanks. I'd assumed that there is a bill that has a given i, and based on that you deduce how much you should pay for it. Almost as if you have a piece of paper with i written on it, and the price you sell it on for is dictated by the same i.
     
  6. didster

    didster Member

    No, if you have a bill which would give you 3% to maturity and you need to sell it, and current buyers want 5%, you need to sell at the price corresponding to 5%, or hold onto it.

    The coupons (bonds) and redemption amounts are written on the bond, but the price and hence value (and rate of return) are entirely dependant on what people are willing to buy or sell at.
     
  7. maz1987

    maz1987 Member

    Thanks!
     
  8. John Lee

    John Lee ActEd Tutor Staff Member

    Nice explanation Didster. Thanks.
     

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