UK SEPTEMBER 2008 QUESTION 6 PART -iii

Discussion in 'CT3' started by SURESH SHARMA, Sep 15, 2015.

  1. SURESH SHARMA

    SURESH SHARMA Member

    suppose that the time T measured in days , until the next claim arises under a portfolio of non life insurance policies , follows a exponential distribution with mean 2.

    now let T1,T2,....T30 be the times in days until the next claim arises under each of the similar 30 portfolio of non life insurance policies and assume that each T1,T2,...T30 follows an exponential distribution with mean 2 independently of all others.

    solution :i have checked the solution but didnot understand the part where they have find out the mean and variance and then did the normal distribution .

    please explain the mean and variance part

    E(S)=30 X E(T)=60
    VAR(S)=30 X VAR(T) = 120 ; WHERE S= T1+T2+....T30


    I HAVE CHECKED THE FORMULAE BOOK PG 16 WHERE THE FOMULAE IS

    MEAN= E(S)=E(N)X E(X)
    AND VARIANCE = E(N)VAR(X) +VAR(N) (E(X))^2

    SO MEAN PART IS CLEAR

    BUT VARIANCE PART IS NOT CLEAR

    REGARDS

    SURESH SHARMA
    9051838188
     
  2. John Lee

    John Lee ActEd Tutor Staff Member

    The formula you are quoting is for a compound distribution - where we also have a random number of claims. here we have a fixed number of claims (-30).
     
  3. SURESH SHARMA

    SURESH SHARMA Member

    what i understand that if n id fixed as in this case , we can use the following

    E(s)=n* E(T)
    and Var(S)= n* Var(T)

    is it correct sir.

    regards
    Suresh sharma
     
  4. suraj

    suraj Member

    Correct, but only if they're IIDs.
     
  5. SURESH SHARMA

    SURESH SHARMA Member

    thanks
     

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