Topic 8 pg 35 Chp.5

Discussion in 'CT4' started by Amit_Bansal, Sep 11, 2014.

  1. Amit_Bansal

    Amit_Bansal Member

    In the formula stated on this page for expected time to reach another state from one state. I have a doubt as follows:-

    What does ''j=/i,k'', written under Sigma sign, interpret? Whether it means summing over all values of j except i and k; or it means except i only.

    Thanks.
     
  2. Hemant Rupani

    Hemant Rupani Senior Member

    It means summing over all values of j except i and k.
     
  3. Amit_Bansal

    Amit_Bansal Member

    As far as i understood the concept, i have some more doubts arising now.

    1. As in example on pg35 part(iii), "Expected Future Lifetime of a healthy life" can also be interpreted as "Expected time to reach state D starting from state H". Am i right? If no, then please explain why the same formula is applied here.

    2. If i'm right in point 1, then as Hemant interpreted in reply#2 in this thread, why the term "2/7*mS" is taken while computing "mH"? Since we'll sum over all states except healthy and dead.

    Any other brainstorming answers will also be appreciated.

    Thanks.
     
  4. Hemant Rupani

    Hemant Rupani Senior Member

    1. You're right!
    2. 2/7 is the probability to get in Sickness state, and \(m_s \) is the expected future lifetime of a sick life.
     
  5. Amit_Bansal

    Amit_Bansal Member

    I'm so sorry that i made a silly mistake in my earlier query. Instead of writting "mD" i posted "mS".
    Please reconsider point2 in earlier reply with "respective transition probability * mD" and answer.

    Thanks a millions.
     
  6. Hemant Rupani

    Hemant Rupani Senior Member

    In notes they applied core principles without mentioning formula and showed \(m_D=0 \)

    As per formula we don't take \(m_D \)
    As per core reading expected lifetime of \(m_D \) is \(m_D=0 \)
    Even, intuitively, we know expected time to reach state D from state D is zero.
     

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