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Testing the value of population proportion

P

paryas.bhatia

Member
Hi Sir,
I would like to know that how the continuity correction is carried out (when we add and when we subtract 0.5)? The book says adjust the value X towards the mean of distribution under Ho (null hypothesis). Could you please explain numerically?
 
Suppose we're testing the hypothesis that p=0.6 against the hypothesis that p>0.6.

If we have a sample of 100 and we have 70 successes, so p hat, the sample proportion, is 0.7, and we want to know the p-value of this result, we are effectively working out P(X>=70) if Ho is true.

Under Ho, X is distributed bin (n=100, p=0.6) and approx normal (np=60, npq= 24). Using the continuity correction (we want to include 70 so we use 69.5):

P(X>=70)=P(Z>(69.5-60)/sq rt (24))=P(Z>1.94)=0.026

Alternatively, under Ho, p hat is distributed approx normal (p=0.6, sq rt pq/n = sq rt (0.6x0.4/100)), so, using the continuity correction:

P(phat >=0.7)=P(Z>(0.695-0.6)/sq rt (0.6x0.4/100))= P(Z>1.94)=0.026

Notice that 70 is above the mean of 60 (and 0.7 is above the mean of 0.6) so we correct downwards towards the mean. If the sample result had been 30, we would have wanted P(X<=30) which would mean finding P(X<30.5) because we want to include 30, so we correct upwards towards the mean.

You do this even if you aren't asked for the p-value. For example, the test statistic in the example above would be 1.94, which you would then compare with the critical value (5%) of 1.6449.
 
Freddie,

Dat was a very good explanation. Helped me too..:)
Thanks.
 
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