Stochastic process questions

Discussion in 'CT4' started by Stefania Anastasopoulou, Sep 7, 2017.

  1. Hello everyone!

    Could you please explain to me what exactly the waiting time is and why it is exponentially distributed?

    Also, in Chapter 3 could you please clarify the section of accident proneness?

    ASAP Please!!

    Thank you very much
     
  2. Harashima Senju

    Harashima Senju Ton up Member

    Waiting time is the time spent in a state say i. The proof of why it is exponentially distributed is given in the notes chapter 5 page 11
     

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  3. Thanks for your reply. Could you please explain to me how i can figure out if the Markov Chain is periodic or aperiodic? Could you please give me an example?
     
  4. John Potter

    John Potter ActEd Tutor Staff Member

    Hi Stefania,

    Your second question has nothing to do with the first one. It's worth posting separate questions as new posts in the future.

    A Markov chain is periodic if return from a state to itself is ONLY possible in a multiple of k>1 steps.
    Example
    Draw this diagram
    State A, arrows to B and C
    State B arrow to D
    State C arrow to D
    State D arrow to A
    You can only get from a state to itself in a multiple of 3 steps. So, it's a periodic chain.
    A Markov chain is aperiodic if it is NOT periodic.
    Draw an arrow from A to itself, aperiodic chain now

    Good luck!
    John
     

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