St3 April 2009 question 5

Discussion in 'SP8' started by tommo, Jan 10, 2018.

  1. tommo

    tommo Member

    how do you calculate moments of truncated distributions? E(s) = E(N) x E(x | x>100) so why do we have to multiply by P(X > 100) in addition to this formula? See solutions to revision booklet 3 page 171 for details. I see that the terms cancel but I don't understand where the extra term comes from in order to cancel the denominator within the integral....
     
  2. Ian Senator

    Ian Senator ActEd Tutor Staff Member

    You're introducing an excess of 100, so all claims below 100 will disappear. Hence you need to multiply by the probability that the claims are actually more than 100.
     
  3. tommo

    tommo Member

    Thanks for the response Ian - but doesn't the E automatically consider this by calculating E[X-100 GIVEN X>100]?
     
  4. Ian Senator

    Ian Senator ActEd Tutor Staff Member

    Very short answer: No. But that's CT6, so don't worry about it too much.

    Short answer: Remember that Pr (A given B) = Pr (A intersection B) / Pr (B)

    Longer answer:
    ct6.jpg
     

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