September 2018, Q8 (iv)

Discussion in 'CS1' started by Hashini Wickramasuriya, Sep 12, 2021.

  1. Hashini Wickramasuriya

    Hashini Wickramasuriya Made first post

    Question:
    An insurance company believes that claim amounts in a certain portfolio of policies
    follow a normal distribution. An analyst chose 61 policies at random which gave a
    sample mean of £523 and a sample standard deviation of £81.
    The company assumes that the true mean and standard deviation of claim amounts are
    the same as those in the sample.
    The number of claims per month for the portfolio follows a Poisson process with
    mean 250.
    (iv) Determine the mean and standard deviation for the total annual amount of
    claims in the portfolio.

    Answer in the examiner's report:
    (iv) Now the rate of claims is 12 × = 3000 [1]
    Mean = _new * mu_claims = 3000 ∗ 523 = 1,569,000 [1]
    Standard deviation = sqrt(lamda_annual) * sqrt(sigma_claim^2+mu^2)
    = √3000 ∗ √(812 + 5232) =28987 [2]

    can anyone explain how the standard deviation is calculated?
     
  2. Julie Lewis

    Julie Lewis Member

    It's calculated using the formula for var(S) given on p16 of the Tables. However, this is not covered in CS1. It is part of the CS2 syllabus.
     
    ykai likes this.

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