Sept 2011 paper 2 q5 (iv)

Discussion in 'CA1' started by r_v.s, Sep 19, 2014.

  1. r_v.s

    r_v.s Member

    In the short term, there would be low inflation and lower interest rates. Salaries would be lower. Companies incur lower costs.
    So equities would do well.

    But lower interest rates would lead to higher consumption and investment spending...So would equities not rise further?
    Then increased spending leads to inflation, then again purchasing power would reduce and equities would fall...but would that be in the short term?

    Would you please explain where I'm going wrong?
     
  2. Helen Evans

    Helen Evans Ton up Member Staff Member

    The Examiners' Report is focusing on the issue of lower salaries, ie these lower salaries also leads to a reduced demand for goods. The impact of this will depend on the type of company:
    - companies that aren't exposed to domestic demand would see a fall in costs as wages fall but not a fall in demand
    - BUT companies that rely on domestic spending and perhaps can't reduce their pay as much as others are likely to be adversely affected and suffer a fall in share price.
     

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