sep 2011 Q4-Embedded value

Discussion in 'SP2' started by Ivanhoe, Sep 15, 2013.

  1. Ivanhoe

    Ivanhoe Member

    The unit reserves for time 2.5 have been arrived at by dividing by 75%. Can some on please let me know the reason? I understand that only 50% policies remain at beginning of time 2.5 and hence the multiplication by 50%


    Rgds,
     
  2. Mark Willder

    Mark Willder ActEd Tutor Staff Member

    In the second year, maturities are 25% of policies in force at outset. However only 75% of policies were in force at the start of the year. So one-third of the policies in force at the start of the year mature, ie 25/75.

    Best wishes

    Mark
     
  3. Ivanhoe

    Ivanhoe Member

    Thanks..Got it!:)
     
  4. CAKABOGU23

    CAKABOGU23 Active Member

    I don't get this please. Why was this not done in the second year as well?:(
     
  5. Lynn Birchall

    Lynn Birchall ActEd Tutor Staff Member

    Hello

    If you're looking at the table of projected charges and expenses in the Examiners' Report, then:

    Time t=0.5
    The unit reserve is determined for 100% of the policies (There is no multiplication by 75% to allow for the 25% who mature at t=0.5.) So, the unit reserves at each t are being determined "before" the maturities at that time.

    Time t=1.5
    We know that 25% matured at t=0.5. So, we multiply the unit reserves by 0.75 to get the 75% who are still in force at t=1.5 (before any maturities at that point).

    Time t=2.5
    We know that 25% matured at t=0.5 & a further 25% of the original number matured at t=1.5. So, we want unit reserves in respect of 50% of the original population (before any maturities at t=2.5). Given that our unit reserves are currently based on 75% of the original population, we need to divide by 75% and then multiply by 50%.

    Hope this helps
    Lynn
     
    Clara Leahy likes this.

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