sep 16 q7 part ii d and e

Discussion in 'CS1' started by Molly, Apr 2, 2023.

  1. Molly

    Molly Ton up Member

    Hi all,

    Have done this question and was a little surprised by the workings
    for example part d is essentially looking for

    P(Countryside| no claims OR one claim)

    i would have done this as

    P(Countryside| no claims OR one claim)= P(Countryside C no claims)/P(no claims) + P(countryside C one claim)/P(one claim)

    but the solutions seem to do the route of

    P(Countryside| no claims OR one claim) = P(countryside and no claims OR countryside and one claim)/P(no claims OR one claim)

    just for my notes, have i understood this correctly? is there a reason why we do not split up the fraction as i have done?

    thanks
    molly
     
  2. Andrea Goude

    Andrea Goude ActEd Tutor Staff Member

    Bayes Theorem P(A|B)=P(AnB)/P(B)
    so
    P(Countryside| no claims OR one claim) = P(countryside and no claims OR countryside and one claim)/P(no claims OR one claim)
    is correct
     
    Molly likes this.
  3. Molly

    Molly Ton up Member

    ah, thank you :)
     

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