Question 3 CM2 Sep 2020

Discussion in 'CM2' started by Rose95, Apr 20, 2021.

  1. Rose95

    Rose95 Member

    My solution to the problem was:

    d1 = [ln(34.55/40) + (2.5%+0.5*0.1^2)*3]/0.1*sqrt(3) = -0.32604 ≈ -0.33
    d2 = d1 – 0.1 * sqrt(3) = -0.4992 ≈ -0.50
    Φ(d2) = Φ(-0.50) = 1-Φ(0.50) = 1- 0.69146 = 0.30854
    Φ(d1) = Φ(-0.33)=1- Φ(0.33) = 1- 0.62930 = 0.3707

    c_t = 34.55 * Φ(d1) - 40 * exp (-0.025 * 3) * Φ(d2)
    = 1.36

    However, the memo gives a slightly higher answer of 1.3998 and different Φ values . Not sure how we are differing. Please help.
     
  2. Steve Hales

    Steve Hales ActEd Tutor Staff Member

    The Black-Scholes option pricing formulae are very sensitive to the rounding of d1 and d2.
    Rather than use approximate values for d1 and d2 you can use NORM.S.DIST(x,TRUE) in Excel to get accurate values for \(\Phi(x)\).
     
  3. Rose95

    Rose95 Member

    Noted, thank you Steve.
     

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