QBank: 5.7

Discussion in 'CT4' started by jensen, Mar 29, 2009.

  1. jensen

    jensen Member

    In part (ii), the question involved time s, but in the solution no s is found. My solution contains time s and others (s, s+t-w, s+t). Can we just assume s=0?

    In part (iii), the solution magically makes s appear again. Please tell me this s have nothing to do with the s in part (ii) because it looked more like the w in part (ii).
     
  2. Michael

    Michael Member

    We don't need to include s in the calculations because this is a time homogeneous model - the question tells us that mu depends on i but not on the time t.

    If we had a time inhomogenous model, we would get something like:

    P i,i+1 (s, s+t) = integral from 0 to t { p i,j-1 (s, s+w) * lambda j-1 (s+w) * p j,j bar (s+w, s+t) } dw

    As our model is time homogeneous, p i,j (s, s+w) depends only on the length of time between s and s+w. It doesn't matter what time s we start in, we always have the same probability as the force of mortality doesn't change over time. So instead we just say p i,j (w). Similarly, lambda j-1 is constant so we can drop the (s+w), and p jj bar (s+w, s+t) depends only on the length of time (s+t) - (s+w) = (t-w) so we get p j,j bar (t-w).


    Yes, the s in part (iii) is the same as the w in part (ii), it has nothing to do with the s in part (ii).

    Hope this helps!
     
  3. jensen

    jensen Member

    Thanks Michael.

    Will try to look at the solution again later.
     

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