Q 12.20

Discussion in 'CT6' started by gcpgcp, Sep 11, 2009.

  1. gcpgcp

    gcpgcp Member

    Q 12.20 ???

    Why below eq is not used ???

    Xt = µ + ∝1(Xt-1 - µ) + ... ∝p(Xt-p - µ) + et
     
  2. gcpgcp

    gcpgcp Member

    Hi, below γ represents autocovariance

    Q 12.20: Derive: γ0 = ∝1 γ1 + ∝2 γ2 + ∝3 γ3 + σ ^2
    Solution:
    γ0 = cov ( Xt , Xt ) = cov( ∝1 Xt-1 + ∝2 Xt-2 + ∝3 Xt-3 + et , Xt )
    = ∝1γ1 + ∝2γ2 + ∝3γ3 + cov ( et , ∝1 Xt-1 + ∝2 Xt-2 + ∝3 Xt-3 + et )
    = ∝1γ1 + ∝2γ2 + ∝3γ3 + σ ^2

    I was wondering why µ from Xt = µ + ∝1(Xt-1 - µ) + ... ∝p(Xt-p - µ) + et is not used ; I think because cov ( µ, Xt) = 0, so eventually it is of no use to do so. Am I correct ?

    What about cov ( et , ∝1 Xt-1) etc, is it = 0 ? Why ?
    Is it b'coz Xt is dependent on past et only so cov ( et , Xt-1 ) = 0 ???

    Thanks,
     
  3. Busy_Bee4422

    Busy_Bee4422 Ton up Member

    The covariance between a constant and a variable is indeed 0.

    The defn of ets is such they are independent.
    By defn of Xt-1 [= µ + ∝1(Xt-2 - µ) + ... ∝p(Xt-1-p - µ) + et-1] will only have an et-1 in it.
    Therefore
    cov ( et , Xt-1 ) = cov[ et ,µ + ∝1(Xt-2 - µ) + ... ∝p(Xt-1-p - µ) + et-1]
    = 0
     

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