• We are pleased to announce that the winner of our Feedback Prize Draw for the Winter 2024-25 session and winning £150 of gift vouchers is Zhao Liang Tay. Congratulations to Zhao Liang. If you fancy winning £150 worth of gift vouchers (from a major UK store) for the Summer 2025 exam sitting for just a few minutes of your time throughout the session, please see our website at https://www.acted.co.uk/further-info.html?pat=feedback#feedback-prize for more information on how you can make sure your name is included in the draw at the end of the session.
  • Please be advised that the SP1, SP5 and SP7 X1 deadline is the 14th July and not the 17th June as first stated. Please accept out apologies for any confusion caused.

Predicting the Future

S

SpringbokSupporter

Member
Since actuaries are sometimes known as "people who can predict the future", let us see how accurately we can predict our exam results. Once results are out you can post what you expected and what you actually got, and then we can perform a hypothesis test on this statement.
 
I have sat 10 exams (over 5 sittings) and passed 7 of them.

Of my three fails I thought I'd passed two.

Of my seven passes I thought I'd failed two.

60% that leaves me on - not a great prediction rate given that I ought to get 50% geussing randomly. Does that mean I'll make a crap actuary as I can't predict the future very well? :D
 
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