Hi, Can someone pleaseeee help me on these questions, as i really need helppppppppp. 1. An motor insurance company operates an NCD system with 3 levels that have discounts of 0%, 30% and 60%. • Following a claim free year a policyholder moves up one level (or remains at level 3). • Following a year with exactly one claim the policyholder drops down one level (or remains at level 1). • Following a year with two or more claims the policyholder drops down to level 1 (or remains at level 1). The number of claims (N) from each policyholder in a year can be assumed to have a Poisson(lamda) distribution so that P[N = x] = ((lamda)^xe^-(lamda))/x! (a) Write the transition matrix, P, for this system. (b) Find the equilibrium proportion of policyholders in each level in terms of lamda. (c) If 100% of policyholders are in level 1 in year 1 then find the proportion of policyholders in each level in years 2 and 3. (d) 10,000 good drivers (lamda = 0.1) and 10,000 bad drivers (lamda = 0.2) all start out at level 1 in year 1. Find the expected numbers of good and bad drivers in each level in years 2 and 3 and in the equilibrium position. (e) If the premium charged to a policyholder in level 1 is P (where P is the same for good and bad drivers) then find the average premium paid by good and bad drivers in the equilibrium position. Comment briefly on the effectiveness of the NCD system. (f) If all claims are for £1000 and the company charges a premium to exactly cover the claims cost in the equilibrium position then find P.
What is the problem? This is a very straightforward question from CT6 (or CT4) and is covered excellently in the notes of CT6 Chapter 9. See also Q3.3 in CT6 Q&A Bank 3.
John thats the thing, i dont have the notes with me and they are too expensive to buy. i have do 1a and b but i am not sure on1c and 1d
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