How to calculate scaled deviance

Discussion in 'CT6' started by dextar, Apr 18, 2014.

  1. dextar

    dextar Member

    Hi I'm facing lot of problems calculating the scaled deviance.

    generally, as per the text this is calculated as
    2(Ls-Lm)

    Here Lm is the same as current model of likelihood so no need to change but how to calculate Ls.

    Q) An insurance portfolio consists of m group of individuals. in the ith group there ar en individuals aged xi. the no of claims from these ni individuals is a binomial random variable Yi with parameters ni and thetai(0<thetai<1). The random variables are independent

    1) Derive MLE of theta1, theta2....
    2) If ln(thetai/(1-thetai))=a+bxi, calculate log likelihood and show that it is
    a*summation(yi)(i=1 to m)+b*(summation xiyi)((i=1 to m)-
    ni*ln(1+exp(a+bxi))+c wehre c doesn not depend on a or b

    3) Derive the scaled deviance of model 2

    Part 1 and 2 are easy but scaled deviace solution is saying it is 2*(part 1 ans-part 2). how come????
     
  2. John Potter

    John Potter ActEd Tutor Staff Member

    Scaled deviance is:

    -2[ log L(S) - log L(M) ]

    So, we are looking at the difference between the likelihood function of the saturated model and the model in question.

    Model 1 is the saturated model
    So, the scaled deviance of Model 2 is calculated, exactly as you have described,

    John
     

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