How do I calculate z scores?

Discussion in 'CT1' started by thomeq, Mar 9, 2015.

  1. thomeq

    thomeq Member

    Apologies for the really basic question but I've never done probability before and am struggling with chapter 15.

    How do I find the probability of a Z score?

    For example, at the end of Q.4.6 in the Q&A bank it reads:

    = P(Z > 1.165)
    = 1-0.87799
    = 0.12201

    How did they arrive at that answer? Is it from the tables somewhere?
     
  2. Sanjay

    Sanjay Member


    Hi,

    The tables ( pg 160 and 161 of the Formulae and Tables book) give values of probabilities of x greater than Z,i.e P(Z<x). Here are certain formulas that may help you:-

    1) if P(Z< -x)= P(Z>x)=1-P(Z<x)
    2) if P(Z> -x)=P(Z<x).


    In your example we have to find P(Z>1.165). So using the first formula it becomes-

    1-P(Z<1.165).

    The tables provide probabilities up to 3 significant figures,so we need to interpolate the probabilities. Now, we know that 1.165 lies between 1.16 and 1.17. the formula for interpolation is-

    P(Z<1.16)+0.5{P(Z<1.17) - P(Z<1.16)}

    (The 0.5 above is from the third significant figure. Suppose if it was 1.1669 instead of 1.165, then we need to put 0.69.)

    From the tables we get:-

    =0.87698+0.5{0.879-0.87698}
    =0.87799

    Therefore , 1-P(Z<1.165)=1-0.87799=0.12201

    I really hope this helped! :)

    Kid regards,
    Sanjay.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Mar 10, 2015
  3. John Lee

    John Lee ActEd Tutor Staff Member

    It should be noted that the CT1 examiners are ok with students no using interpolation as it is the first exam...

    This is not the case for Ct3 or CT6 though!
     
  4. thomeq

    thomeq Member

    Thanks so much Sanjay, that explains it perfectly.

    @John Lee: So in the exam would it be alright to leave the answer as

    1-P(Z<1.165)?
     
  5. Sanjay

    Sanjay Member

    Lol no! :) We are still required to calculate the probability. We can either-

    1) Calculate 1-P[Z<1.17](rounding 1.165 to 3 significant figures) -This involves looking up values of [Z<1.17] in the tables; 1-P[Z<1.17]=1-0.87900=0.121
    or
    2) Calculate 1-P[Z<1.165] - This requires us to interpolate the probabilities to find the value of [Z<1.165] which would give us a value of 0.12201.

    What Sir meant is that the latter is not really required for CT 1, but is necessary for CT 3 and CT 6. If you look at the Examiner's report of the past papers in CT 1, you'll see that they have used interpolation. So I think that there's no harm in interpolating to just get the hang of it. ;)

    John Sir, thoughts? :)
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Mar 16, 2015
  6. John Lee

    John Lee ActEd Tutor Staff Member

    No. We still have to obtain the probability. Just not use interpolation.

    Since the figure was P(Z<1.16462...) we would round it to P(Z<1.16). We can then read this from the Tables as 0.87698.
     

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