V
veeko
Member
The exam style question in Chapter 4 part (ii) asks us to calculate the likelihood of the data and gives information that 10 claims were received, 4 of which involved the reinsurer.
In the solution, it considers the 6 claims which are <M and do not involve the reinsurer. ie. they calculate Pr(X<M)^(n-m). However, in the core reading on page 24 of Chapter 4, to calculate the likelihood, they consider the claims that do involve the reinsurer, ie. they calculate Pr(X>M)^m.
Is my reasoning correct that one of these has to be wrong or am I confused somewhere along the line.
Thanks.
In the solution, it considers the 6 claims which are <M and do not involve the reinsurer. ie. they calculate Pr(X<M)^(n-m). However, in the core reading on page 24 of Chapter 4, to calculate the likelihood, they consider the claims that do involve the reinsurer, ie. they calculate Pr(X>M)^m.
Is my reasoning correct that one of these has to be wrong or am I confused somewhere along the line.
Thanks.