EBCT model 2 practice question

Discussion in 'CT6' started by jmddgrs, Apr 3, 2011.

  1. jmddgrs

    jmddgrs Member

    Just a query about practice question 4(ii) in revision booklet 4, which asks us to calculate the credibility premiums per unit of risk volume for risk groups 2 and 3, given the premium for risk group 1.

    In the answer on pg. 79 it calculates Z(i) = Y(i) / (Y(i) + E/V) for i = 2,3 where Y(i) is the sum of the aggregate claims over five years for risk group i. However, when working back from the premium to find Z(1) it uses Z(1) = P(1) / (P(1) + E/V)) where P(1) is the sum of the risk volume over five years for risk group 1.

    What's the reason for using the aggregate claims to calculate Z(2) and Z(3) as opposed to the risk volume, as for Z(1)?
     
  2. John Lee

    John Lee ActEd Tutor Staff Member

    Oops! We've made a mistake. Using the risk volumes instead we should get:

    Z(2) = 0.2047
    Z(3) = 0.1546

    and credibility premiums per unit of risk volume:

    risk 2 = 2.552
    risk 3 = 2.589

    I'll get this into the corrections document and loaded on the website.

    Thank you so much for pointing this out and apologies for the confusion caused.
     
  3. jmddgrs

    jmddgrs Member

    Thanks very much. :)
     

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