In the following essays the assumptions below are implied
1) Summer 2007 was not only the end of the usual business cycle (Juglar Cycle), but was also the beginning of liquidation phase of the Kondratieff cycle.
2) We are much nearer the beginning of this crisis than the end.
3) The long term debt levels (Government + Corporate + Personal) that are sustainable are about 100-125% of GDP and with 300-400% outstanding in many developed countries a much larger amount of debt either needs to be paid back/defaulted on or inflated away than was the case in 1929 when debt levels were typically 200-300%.
4) This is a much larger crisis than the 1930's which saw massive economic and political deterioration around the globe.
5) This is a demographic crisis of the Western democracies due to too many births in the late 40's, 50's and 60's and too few births since abortion liberalisation occured in the late 60's and early 70's
6) The banking system has not been saved. At vast cost to future taxpayers, Western governments have just bought a little time. Much of it is doomed to fail by recklessness unparalleled even in the shoddy history of banking.
7) This is the beginning of the end of Welfare state Capitalism as a political system , in a similar manner to the economic crisis in the Eastern block in the late 80's and early 90's was the end to Soviet communism as a political system.
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