CM2 - Sept 2014 Q2

Discussion in 'CM2' started by Bharti Singla, Oct 2, 2022.

  1. Bharti Singla

    Bharti Singla Senior Member

    An investor wishes to allocate her capital between a service company S and a manufacturing company M. The returns on shares in S have mean 10% and variance 16%% while returns of shares on company M have mean 8% and variance 25%%. The correlation between these is 0.3
    (iv) calculate minimum variance portfolio

    The minimum variance portfolio is calculated as 65.5% in S and 34.5% in M using a formula. But why not investing 100% in S and 0% in M given that S has higher mean and lower variance?
     
  2. Alvin Kissoon

    Alvin Kissoon ActEd Tutor Staff Member

    You are correct that if we invested 100% in S our variance is 16%%.

    However, you can get lower than this. For example, in part (iii) you discovered that the variance of a portfolio which is invested three quarters in S and one quarter in M is 12.8125%%. This is because V(xA+yB) = x^2*V(A)+y^2*V(B)+2*x*y*Corr(A,B)*SD(A)*SD(B).

    The variance of the minimum variance portfolio is:
    V(0.655S+0.345M)
    = V(0.655S)+V(0.345M)+2*Corr(0.655S,0.345M)*SD(0.655S)*SD(0.345M)
    = 0.655^2*16%% + 0.345^2*25%% + 2*0.3*0.655*sqrt(16%%)*0.345*sqrt(25%%)
    = 12.55%%.
     
    Bharti Singla likes this.
  3. Bharti Singla

    Bharti Singla Senior Member

    Thanks for explaining Alvin. I got your point. But I am just thinking is there any possibility where we can give a simple answer by just looking at the mean and variance(without doing any calculations as you did) maybe if the two assets were not correlated ?
     
  4. Alvin Kissoon

    Alvin Kissoon ActEd Tutor Staff Member

    Unfortunately not. If the two assets were not correlated, you would still use the formula in the Examiners' Report to determine the proportions to invest in each asset and the resulting variance (which will still be lower than 16%%). On the plus side, it is a straightforward formula to use.
     

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