CM2 questions

Discussion in 'CM2' started by singingmyblues, Aug 28, 2023.

  1. singingmyblues

    singingmyblues Keen member

    1. CT8, April 2012 Question 5 requires expressing E(-X|X<-VaR_a) in the integral form
    which the answer states to be -1/a int_-inf^VaR_a XF(X) dx
    just wondering where does the 1/a part come from?
    2. CM2B: for a general Brownian motion St¬lnN(lnS0+(mu-1/2 sigma^2)t ,sigma^2 t)
    can lnSt be simulated as norm.inv(rand(), mean, variance), where mean and variance are from the line above?

    Thank you
     
  2. CapitalActuary

    CapitalActuary Ton up Member

    Question 1
    Recall that P{A|B} = P{A, B} / P{B} = 1 / P{B} * P{A,B}.
    Here, B is X < -VaR_a, therefore 1 / P{B} = 1 / a. This is where the factor of 1/a comes from.

    Question 2
    Yes.
     

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