Chapter 6/7 Question

Discussion in 'CT6' started by Rob, Apr 2, 2008.

  1. Rob

    Rob Member

    I've been looking at practice question 6 in revision booklet 3:

    claim amounts: X ~ Exp (1/5000)
    # claims: N ~ Poi(5)
    XOL reinsurance with retention limit 6000

    Let Z be the amount paid by the reinsurer on individual claim i.e.
    Z = 0 , X < 6000
    Z = X - 6000 , X >= 6000

    Now if Sr is aggregate claim paid by reinsurer, then
    E[Sr] = E[N]E[Z] --- happy with this

    but the answer in the booklet then states:
    var[Sr] = E[N]E[Z^2]

    Where does this expression for var[Sr] come from?

    I was using var[Sr] = E[N]var[X-M]+var[N](E[X-M])^2 from pg 16 tables.

    Any help would be much appreciated.

    Thanks.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Apr 2, 2008
  2. RyuVI

    RyuVI Member

    'I was using var[Sr] = E[N]var[X]+var[N](E[X])^2 from pg 16 tables.'

    It's the same thing. When # of Claims has a Poission distribution then E[N] = Var[N] and the above equation becomes E[N]{Var[X]+(E[X])^2}

    but Var[X] + (E[X])^2 = E[X^2] hence we get: var = E[N]E[X^2]

    We can use this shortcut and others whenever we have a compound poission distribution ie when N~Poi. Look again at page 16 and you will see three useful equations when dealing with compound poisson.

    (Note how Variance = lambda x m2 ie var = E[N]E[X^2])
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Apr 2, 2008
  3. Rob

    Rob Member

    Thanks.

    Spotting that E[N] = Var [N] (for a Poisson) would have helped me!
     

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