Ch12 mortality projection question

Discussion in 'CS2' started by CHUN LEONG LEE, Jan 11, 2024.

  1. CHUN LEONG LEE

    CHUN LEONG LEE Keen member

    Hello there, i refer to page 18 of chapter 12 - mortality projection.

    I refer to the table k^_t and b^_x. Could i get some guidance on how the formula is used to calculate these 2 values please, as I got kinda stuck here.

    Thank you!
     
  2. Andrew Martin

    Andrew Martin ActEd Tutor Staff Member

    Hello

    The kt have been calculated using the formula given on the bottom of page 17. For example:

    k_2010^ = -4.34281 - (-4.37407) + -4.19971 - (-4.22093) + -4.04555 - (-4.06010) + -3.93223 - (-3.94915) + -3.86323 - (-3.87621) + -3.72970 - (-3.74264) = 0.10987

    Once we have all the kt^, we can use the formula on page 17 for the estimates of b_x (equation (1)). For example:

    b_60^ = [0.10987 * (-4.34281 - (-4.37407)) + 0.02228 * (-4.36458 - (-4.37407)) + -0.01532 * (-4.38363 - (-4.37407)) + -0.04805 * (-4.38925 - (-4.37407)) + -0.06878 * (-4.39006 - (-4.37407)) ] / (0.10987^2 + 0.02228^2 + (-0.01532)^2 + (-0.04805)^2 + (-0.06878)^2) = 0.28332

    This is slightly off to what is in the notes (0.28334) as I've used rounded values here and exact values were used in the calculations in the notes.

    Hope this helps!

    Andy
     

Share This Page