Ch.6 EBCT

Discussion in 'CT6' started by Bharti Singla, Nov 30, 2016.

  1. Bharti Singla

    Bharti Singla Senior Member

    Hi all
    Ch.6, page 4
    Please anyone explain what does it mean-
    'neither m(∅) nor s²(∅) depends on j'??

    And also on page 13-
    Here 1/n×E[s²(∅)] is subtracted from var[m(∅)] to get an unbiased estimator. I am not getting it completely. How it(variance between risks) becomes an unbiased estimator by subtracting a term(variance within the risks) from it? And why we divide E(s²∅) by n here while subtracting?
    Please anyone clarify asap.
    Thanks
     
  2. John Lee

    John Lee ActEd Tutor Staff Member

    They have the same values for different years.

    On average the \(\sum {(\bar X_i - \bar X)^2 }\) gives an estimate that is too big, hence we subtract a bit from it so on average it gives the correct value (ie it is unbiased).
     
  3. Bharti Singla

    Bharti Singla Senior Member

    I am not getting how they have same values for different years? What I am getting is m(∅i) and s²(∅i) are the means and variances of particular risk respectively. Then how can we have same value of mean for different years, i.e. if we have data for 3 years or data for 4 years.. how can the means are same for 3 years and 4 years? Please clarify.
     
  4. Bharti Singla

    Bharti Singla Senior Member

    Please anyone explain.
     
  5. John Lee

    John Lee ActEd Tutor Staff Member

    It's an assumption. If they weren't the same each year we wouldn't be able to estimate them without knowing how they increased.
     

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