I approached it like this (could be waaaay off but its an attempt)
Using blacks model:
D1 = (ln(F/K) + .5*vol)/(root(vol))
Fut price at the end of 3 months, given current term structure = 6*exp(-.06*.5) + 106*exp(-.11) - these rates are taken from the r(t) equation for 6 and 12 months respectively (after the 3 month period).
Volatility is now the sum of future price volatility and the stochastic interest volatility (for zero coupon rates) - which will be (sig1^2*t + sig2^2*t^2). Where sig1 = price volatility and sig2 = interest rate volatility.
Since sig1 is not given, sig2 using H&W model is s^2*(1-exp(-2*alpha*t))/(2*alpha) = (.06916)^2 for 3 month period
Using this in the put equation for Garman-Kohlhagen, we get
100*psi(-.525) - 100.66*psi(-.5517) = 2.37.
No where close to the solution of .44!
Edit:
Oh wait, there needs to be another integral for r(t) to compute the zero coupon volatility!)
Last edited: Mar 24, 2013