Assumptions ideas

Discussion in 'CP2' started by rlsrachaellouisesmith, Jul 24, 2022.

  1. rlsrachaellouisesmith

    rlsrachaellouisesmith Ton up Member

    Hi

    On page 29 of the online classroom handout under Parameters there are two points:
    Comment on any independence/dependencies in parameters
    Comment on any minimums/maximums in the model

    Can you give any examples of what these could be as I am not sure I have come across a situation where these would be appropriate/make sense?

    Thank you,

    Rachael
     
  2. rlsrachaellouisesmith

    rlsrachaellouisesmith Ton up Member

    Good morning,

    Further to this question I wondered approximately how many assumptions we should be 'aiming for' in the Audit trail. I appreciate we want to write down all assumptions we have made, but the question is more about how many we are expected to think of.

    I was doing paper 1 from April 2020 and managed to come up with 10, is that enough, should I be thinking of more 'adding value' assumptions?

    Guidance for next steps is 10-15, I wondered if there was similar guidance for the assumptions in the audit trail?

    Thank you,

    Rachael
     
  3. Sarah Byrne

    Sarah Byrne ActEd Tutor Staff Member

    Independence of parameters could be something like, 'the investment return and lapse rates rate are independent' (if we are not modelling any relationship between them). Min/max comment could be, 'the maximum term modelled is 20 years'. Just be careful not to restate parameters here and focus on assumptions that have been made when building the model. These comments won't always be relevant, so the ideas are not intended to be used for every situation. You must ensure they are tailored to the situation

    The question should show the marks available for assumptions, aim for 1 good added value assumption per mark. So, 5 marks, 5 good assumptions. If you can come up with 10 good assumptions quickly that's great!

    Sarah
     
    Harashima Senju likes this.
  4. rlsrachaellouisesmith

    rlsrachaellouisesmith Ton up Member

    Thank you Sarah, that is really helpful.
     

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