April 2016 question 12 part (i)

Discussion in 'CT5' started by James123, Feb 24, 2017.

  1. James123

    James123 Member

    hi,

    I am incorrectly calculating the EPV(Death Benefit) compared to the solutions and cannot work out why.

    The DB is a whole life assurance to life aged 45, with SA of 150,000 payable immediately on death. Bonuses of 1.92308% vest immediately. Use Am92@6%.

    I understand the bonuses and discount factors of 6% cancel out, thus leaving a discount rate of 4% so we end up with:

    150,000 x A(bar)(45) @4%.

    Which can then be further simplified to:
    150,000 x ((1.04)^0.5) x A(45) @4%

    However in the solution it is
    150,000 x ((1.06)^0.5) x A(45) @4%

    I don't understand why this is,

    surely; A(bar)(x) @4% = ((1.04)^0.5) A(x) @4%

    why would you instead use an interest rate of 6% instead of 4% to turn this into a payable at YE Assurance, when it is being valued using i=4%?


    please advise

    Thanks in advance
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Feb 24, 2017
  2. deepakraomore

    deepakraomore Member

    Slightly correction required
    If DB is paid immediately then multiply by (1.06)^0.5
    Now SA increase compound @ 1.92308 % so ..
    (150000/1.0192308) * (1.06)^0.5 * A(45) ( A(45) is @ 4%)
     
  3. James123

    James123 Member

    Okay that makes sense, but why could you not alternatively choose to 'not make that immediate correction' and instead valuate it as a payable immediately Assurance to begin with and then correct it to a payable at YE in the final step :

    DB =150,000[(v^0.5)(1.0192308^0.5)q45 + (v^1.5)(1.0192308^1.5)p45 q46 +.......] @6%

    =150,000[(v^0.5)q45 + (v^1.5)p45 q46 +.......] @4%

    = 150,000 [A(bar)(45)] @4%

    = 150,000 ((1.04)^0.5) A(45) @4%

    I understand the method you have said in your reply but I don't understand what is incorrect about this approach, apart from the fact it gives the wrong answer :)
     
  4. deepakraomore

    deepakraomore Member

    Increase is annually.
    DB = \(150000 \) \(\left[v^{0.5} 1.0192308 q_{45} + v^{1.5} 1.0192308^{2} p_{45} q_{46} + ...\right]\) v @ 6%
    now multiplying by \( 1.06^{0.5}\ / 1.0192308\) cancels non integer powers of v inside the square bracket and makes it ...
    \(\left(1.0192308/1.06\right)..\left(1.0192308/1.06\right)^{2}...\)
    so finally
    \(\left(150000 / 1.0192308 \right)\) \(1.06^{0.5}\) \(\left[ v q_{45} + \left(1.0192308/1.06\right)^{2} p_{45} q_{46} + ...\right]\)
    (150000/1.0192308)(1.06)^0.5 A45 (@ 4%)
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Feb 24, 2017
  5. James123

    James123 Member

    Okay I see - I assumed the bonus increase could be considered to be increasing continuously throughout the year, hence you could evaluate at the half year point of each year e.g. evaluating the HY1 bonus as ((1.0192308)^0.5).

    I am sure I have seen questions where expenses inflate at for example 1.0192308% pa, and we can evaluate these at the half year point, i.e. (Expense x (1.0192308^0.5))

    So can such bonuses can only be evaluated at the year end point ? Whereas inflation applies to expenses can be evaluated at HY? Or is there some specific wording in question to look for.

    Thanks
     
  6. deepakraomore

    deepakraomore Member

    As per current study material, bonus are increase either at constant rate or compound
    Also please note that some time examiner tells time of inflation effect. i.e immediate or at time of renewal. This gives two different answers.
    To calculate expenses with inflationary effect same principle applies ( i.e annuity function calculated @ i')
     
    James123 likes this.

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