April 2005 q5b

Discussion in 'CT8' started by r_v.s, Mar 28, 2014.

  1. r_v.s

    r_v.s Member

    How do we get the SDE of rt under Q?
     
  2. Graham Aylott

    Graham Aylott Member

    You need to use the Cameron-Martin-Girsanov (CMG) Theorem from Chapter 15 Section 1. The CMG Theorem essentially tells us that the relationship between the standard Brownian motion (SBM) under the real-world "P" probabilities, Z(t), and the SBM under the risk-neutral "Q" probabilities, Z~(t), is:

    Z~(t) = Z(t) + gamma*t

    or equally:

    dZ~(t) = dZ(t) + gamma*dt

    where gamma is the market price of risk, which in the context of term structure models is:

    gamma = [m(t,T) - r(t)] / S(t,T)

    - see page 12 of Chapter 17.

    So, all you need to do is replace dZ(t) in the SDE for r(t) under P given in the question with:

    dZ(t) = dZ~(t) - gamma*dt

    to get the corresponding SDE for r(t) under Q.

    In this case:

    gamma = mu*r(t)/sigma

    and you obtain:

    dr(t) = sigma*dZ~(t) under Q.
     

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