September 2019

Discussion in 'CM2' started by AKS01, Sep 18, 2022.

  1. AKS01

    AKS01 Very Active Member

    Hi,

    For Q1 Part (ii)(a) Option 2, I attempted to calculate the shortfall probability doing P(9000X<10000), however I am not getting the same solution in the mark scheme.
    I would have standardized this to get P(z<(10/9-0.15)/0.15) which doesn't appear to be correct.
    Would someone be able to explain the solution of P(X<(10/9-1)) please?

    Thanks
     
  2. Bslater

    Bslater Made first post

    I think it's because you are investing the 9k for one year, so you actually want P(9000*(1+i)<10000). Then you would standardise as you have shown above.
     
    AKS01 likes this.
  3. AKS01

    AKS01 Very Active Member

    Thank you!
     

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