April 2009 Q5 (ii)

Discussion in 'ST3' started by MrMikeR, Sep 1, 2009.

  1. MrMikeR

    MrMikeR Member

    E=P[X>100]*E[N]*E[X-100|X>100]

    I agree with this.

    However E[X-100|X>100] term is made up of another term which has a P[X>100] on the denominator, I agree with this. So the P[X>100] terms cancel leaving just the integral in the numerator of the E[X-100|X>100] term times by E[N].

    However the ASET solutions the P[X>100] seems to come back again (bottom P28). I thought it cancelled? Maybe it's getting late but im going mad trying to see how it came back.
     
  2. Hello

    I don't think ASET has added it back in.

    If L=lamda and A=alpha....

    Note that, in order to derive the final expression for E at the foot of p28, we have taken the expression for E from half way down the page and:
    1) taken L^A outside the intergal
    2) multiplied inside integral by (L+100)^A and divided by the same amount outside the integral.

    We then use the expression for the mean of a Pareto (but with parameters A and (L+100) to evaluate the expression inside integral. I think this is OK.

    Does this help? I hope so.
     
  3. MrMikeR

    MrMikeR Member

    Thanks. I see exactly what's happening now.
     

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